Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2544.404279 2753.810065 2965.907275 3196.513497 3439.868464 3688.743356 3962.194983
2025-02-09 2192.044149 2502.477515 2828.703406 3195.909261 3596.551322 4019.256662 4497.781870
2025-02-16 1948.724848 2316.488979 2713.763612 3172.417849 3684.903397 4237.543382 4876.122128
2025-02-23 1799.178246 2212.246904 2668.757046 3206.764906 3819.477178 4491.644539 5280.794880
2025-03-02 1654.538090 2098.802158 2600.130524 3202.008161 3899.139150 4675.509176 5599.640033
2025-03-09 1561.659087 2036.464424 2582.165673 3247.927725 4030.292518 4912.755500 5975.374044
2025-03-16 1441.043620 1932.358399 2507.504422 3220.439040 4070.185918 5040.554202 6222.054392
2025-03-23 1384.645302 1901.368192 2515.723355 3287.445580 4218.091743 5291.641580 6610.607691
2025-03-30 1308.809970 1841.312804 2484.468660 3303.199748 4302.078539 5465.868436 6908.362070
2025-04-06 1233.825642 1777.790509 2444.991771 3305.363883 4366.825714 5615.315327 7175.749903
2025-04-13 1121.775572 1660.819178 2333.578011 3213.697534 4312.995459 5619.498376 7267.329701
2025-04-20 1103.419697 1664.676109 2373.595193 3310.171333 4489.781407 5901.552887 7692.972327
2025-04-27 1069.614820 1647.250583 2386.427236 3373.380033 4627.596294 6139.857441 8071.147902
2025-05-04 1010.856837 1593.425157 2349.907364 3371.950574 4683.642017 6278.158545 8328.815008
2025-05-11 947.363726 1529.813796 2297.629886 3347.536058 4708.502770 6376.530857 8536.793185
2025-05-18 911.668213 1502.976853 2292.555999 3383.247321 4808.964984 6568.324696 8860.127675
2025-05-25 863.302079 1455.760890 2257.980666 3378.301872 4855.887616 6692.507917 9099.650784
2025-06-01 837.066894 1438.979755 2263.689127 3426.039895 4970.530988 6901.893135 9446.053897
2025-06-08 786.022770 1383.485404 2213.955350 3397.463494 4984.182078 6982.619869 9630.995669
2025-06-15 771.163692 1380.819433 2237.096232 3467.116994 5126.729346 7227.623349 10023.607061
2025-06-22 739.807931 1351.800765 2221.930100 3483.491320 5198.279502 7381.793052 10301.940046
2025-06-29 705.806450 1317.131060 2197.356388 3485.740580 5250.213764 7510.392416 10547.987691
2025-07-06 644.343885 1236.873849 2104.499776 3390.454837 5169.030116 7464.968731 10570.365762